2009 Baseball League Championship Series preview

2009 Baseball League Championship Series preview

Published October 15, 2009 4:00am ET



AL CAPSULESNew York YankeesRecord » 103-59Manager » Joe GirardiHow they got here » AL East champThe skinny » A combination of solid pitching, clutch hitting from the likes of Alex Rodriguez (who knew?!) and Mark Teixeira, opponent’s mistakes and some mistakes by the men in blue helped New York sweet Minnesota. Instead of falling apart in October like they’ve had in previous seasons, the Yankees continued to build upon the enormous success from the previous months. Joe Girardi’s club doesn’t seem to be as tense. They play looser … and much better when it counts. Los Angeles AngelsRecord » 97-65Manager » Mike SciosciaHow they got here » AL West champThe skinny » Probably the most overlooked team still left in the postseason, the Angels took down the Boston Red Sox in three straight — which culminated in a fantastic ninth inning comeback in Game 3. Neither their pitching, nor their hitting gets enough credit from those east of the California border. L.A. tied the all-time record for most players with at least 100 hits. The starting rotation came to life at the end of the season, and kept on going with strong outings from John Lackey and Jered Weaver against Boston. » Examiner Predicts
Both of these teams know how to reach the postseason, so neither will be overcome by the moment. In fact, New York seems more ready to win than we’ve seen in recent memory. With two home games to start the series, that should be the boost they need when they head to the West Coast. Frankly, there are just too many Yankee hitters for the Angles to contain.Yankees in six — Brian Wright
 

NLCS PreviewLos Angeles DodgersRecord » 95-67Manager » Joe TorreHow they got here » NL West champThe skinny » Pretty much everyone penciled in a St. Louis victory in the division series against Los Angeles. Not only did the Dodgers turn the table, they took it in three straight — with a little help from Matt Holliday. L.A.’s strength is its deep bullpen. It ranked first in the majors in terms of bullpen ERA. However, it had the fourth-most appearances of any club. We’ll see if it starts to wear down. A previously poor-hitting club was swinging nicely against the Cards, and they’ll need the middle of their lineup to continue that production. Joe Torre can utilize his bench players. Philadelphia PhilliesRecord » 93-69Manager » Charlie ManuelHow they got here » NL East champThe skinny » Philadelphia got back to the National League Championship Series with its bats. Ryan Howard, Chase Utley and Raul Ibanez all hit 30 or more home runs as left-handed hitters. Jason Werth launched 36 over the fence. The bats helped the Phils rally past Colorado. But they’ll need good starts from the back of the rotation in order to advance farther. Ace Cliff Lee was spectacular in Game 1 vs. the Rockies, but Cole Hamels struggled. Beleaguered closer Brad Lidge finished off Game 4, calming the waters for the time being. » Examiner PredictsWill it be a reprise of the previous year’s events? Or will the Dodgers reverse the script and enact revenge on the team that took them out last year. This time around, it’s L.A. who has the home field advantage. The Phillies had a brutal travel schedule, going from Colorado to Philly to California in a matter of days. That wear may get to them in the first two games. Pitching wins in the postseason. Last year, the Phillies had it with Hamels and company. This year, it’s only Cliff Lee. He can’t win it alone. The Dodgers have solid pitching, but an even better — and deeper — bullpen.Dodgers in seven
— Brian Wright

ALCS story lines

1. A-Rod’s return » He fought back from hip surgery and in just 124 games Alex Rodriguez still put together a 30-HR, 100-RBI season, anchoring the majors’ best lineup. He always has had a reputation for postseason choking. The facts don’t always back that. Yes, he was 1-for-12 in the final three games of the legendary 2004 ALCS against Boston as New York blew a 3-0 lead. And he was downright awful in a first-round loss to the Tigers in 2006. But Rodriguez also was unstoppable against the Yankees in 2000 ALCS and has twice destroyed Twins in a division series — in 2004 and last week (5-for-11, two homers).

2. Schedule crazy » MLB really is bowing to the networks here. Both FOX and TBS have asked for the schedule to be spread out. Game 7 of the ALCS won’t be until Oct. 25 and that gives New York a huge advantage over the Angels. Ace CC Sabathia likely will pitch three times in the series — and only once will it have to be on three days rest. A.J. Burnett and Andy Pettitte both can pitch twice on normal rest for the Yankees. Los Angeles has four quality starters, but none posted an ERA lower than Jered Weaver’s 3.75.

3. Running like an Angel » Yankees may have led baseball in runs scored (915), but the aggressive Angels were right behind them (883). Only two teams stole more bases than Los Angeles (148). And considering the Angels are pretty good at getting on base, too (.350 OBP) that will cause headaches for Yankees catcher Jorge Posada — at least when A.J. Burnett’s not on the mound. Then it becomes Jose Molina’s problem. New York catchers threw out 52 of 177 runners this year. At 29 percent that ranks a modest 14th overall. The Angels are worse at 23 percent, but the Yankees don’t run nearly as much.

NLCS story lines

1. Step off the Lidge » Who knows what to expect from Philadelphia closer Brad Lidge this series. Every scenario is in play. The guy who was punked by Albert Pujols in the 2005 NLCS was literally perfect in save chances last season (48-for-48). But this year he was miserable and blew an MLB worst 11 saves. Manager Charlie Manuel gave Lidge chance after chance, gave up on him a few times and yet still named him the playoff closer. So far, so good. Lidge pitched 1 1/3 scoreless innings in the NLDS against Colorado — though he did walk two batters in Game 3.

2. Repeat after us » There’s a reason no National League team has won back-to-back World Series titles since Big Red Machine did it in 1975-76. It’s really hard. The Phillies have bucked the odds even to get back to the NLCS. But they are here now, and with trade deadline acquisition Cliff Lee, Philadelphia has a far deeper rotation than it did a year ago. Winning a second pennant will take another repeat — beating the Dodgers again in the NLCS. The two teams have met four previous times in the league championship series since 1977, including last fall. They have split those series two apiece.

3. Left behind » The Phillies have two switch hitters at top of lineup in Jimmy Rollins and Shane Victorino followed by three left-handed bats in Chase Utley, Ryan Howard and Raul Ibanez. Dodgers’ top two starters — Clayton Kershaw and Randy Wolf — just happen to be lefties. Not to mention key relievers George Sherrill and Hong-Chih Kuo. Victorino is actually better batting right-handed, but Rollins (.691 OPS) is less effective from that side. Utley is about even against left-handed pitchers while Howard is abysmal (.654 OPS) to the point of being a different player. Ibanez has been great (.998 OPS) in 2009, but is bucking his career norm (.761 OPS).

 

ALCS » Angels vs. Yankees   NLCS » Dodgers vs. Phillies
Game Matchup Time TV   Game Matchup Time TV
1 – Oct. 16 @ NYY 7:57 p.m. FOX   1 – Oct. 15 @ LAD 8:07 p.m. TBS
2 – Oct. 17 @ NYY 7:57 p.m. FOX   2 – Oct. 16 @ LAD 4:07 p.m. TBS
3 – Oct. 19 @ LAA 4:13 p.m. FOX   3 – Oct. 18 @ PHI 8:07 p.m. TBS
4 – Oct. 20 @ LAA 7:57 p.m. FOX   4 – Oct. 19 @ PHI 8:07 p.m. TBS
5 – Oct. 22* @ LAA 7:57 p.m. FOX   5 – Oct. 21* @ PHI 8:07 p.m. TBS
6 – Oct. 24* @ NYY 4:13 p.m. FOX   6 – Oct. 23* @ LAD 8:07 p.m. TBS
7 – Oct. 25* @ NYY 8:20 p.m. FOX   7 – Oct. 24* @ LAD 8:07 p.m. TBS
* — if necessary