US TROOPS DECAMP: A convoy of more than 100 armored vehicles carrying U.S. troops was spotted crossing from Syria into semi-autonomous Kurdish region of Iraq today in the northern Iraqi province of Dohuk.
The withdrawal of all but a small contingent of U.S. forces who will continue to man a base in far southern Syria is continuing âapace,â Defense Secretary Mark Esper told reporters traveling with him to Afghanistan over the weekend.
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âWeâre talking weeks not daysâ for the withdrawal to be completed, Esper said, according to a Pentagon transcript of his in-flight news conference. âWeâre using either helicopters or fixed-wing aircraft or ground convoys ⊠Weâre trying to be very deliberate as we go through this. Job number one, though, remains protection of our forces.â
âTRUMP BETRAYED USâ: In a video posted on twitter Kurds could be seen holding signs and bidding the U.S. troops goodbye. One sign read âThanks for US People but Trump Betrayed US.â
An AFP photo showed a U.S. soldier wearing a bright green Kurdish patch on his shoulder in an apparent show of solidarity for his former Kurdish partners as he manned a gun atop an armored vehicle.
NOT GOING HOME, YET: Despite President Trumpâs stated rationale that his decision to bow to Turkeyâs request to establish a buffer zone is based on his desire to bring U.S. troops home and end âendless wars,â Esper confirmed that the current plan is for the U.S. forces to remain in Iraq to conduct cross border operations against ISIS, which is threatening to resurge.
âThe current game plan is for those forces to re-position into western Iraq,â Esper told the traveling press. The almost 1,000 troops will have two missions, he said. âOne is to help defend Iraq, and two is to perform a counter-ISIS mission as we sort through the next steps.â
PLAN B: But Esper, who heads to a meeting of NATO defense ministers later this week, said U.S. allies are not ready to abandon the fight against ISIS.
âI had a conversation with the NATO secretary general. We both agreed on the importance of continuing the defeat ISIS campaign,â Esper said, while tacitly acknowledging Trump could countermand that plan as well. âThings could change between now and whenever we complete the withdrawal. But thatâs the game plan right now.â
On Friday Secretary of State Mike Pompeo met with Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg, who said NATO would take up the issue at this weekâs ministerial. âAll NATO Allies and NATO are part of the Coalition to defeat [ISIS], Stoltenberg said. âWe must not jeopardize the gains we have made in the fight against our common enemy.â
DESPERATE PLEA: Meanwhile commander of the Kurdish-led forces, Gen. Mazloum Kobani Abdi, in phone calls with Western reporters is pleading with President Trump to leave some American forces behind, and is accusing Turkey of violating its ceasefire and conducting a campaign of ethic cleansing.
âJust spoke to SDF commander Gen Mazloum by telephone from his base in Syria,â tweeted Fox News National Security Correspondent Jennifer Griffin. âMazloum asks that President Trump change his mind and leave US troops in Syria to continue anti ISIS mission.â
âGen Mazloum tells me so far more than 500 civilian casualties and more than 400,000 Kurds displaced, says âTurks are still violating the ceasefire and they still shooting,â Griffin tweeted. âTells me Turks have carried out 15 airstrikes against SDF Kurdish forces since ceasefire. Also tells me his Kurdish forces are still guarding ISIS prisons. âWe promise Pres Trump to watch these risky people.ââ
STILL TALKING, STILL FIGHTING: Esper confirmed to reporters that so far the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces have not abandoned the fight, even as they have been forced to retreat in the face of the Turkish assault. âWeâre still in contact with the SDF on the ground as well. And they are still, as best we can determine and as best they report, defending the prisons that are in their area of control.â
Good Monday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyreâs Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Susan Katz Keating (@SKatzKeating). Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com. If signing up doesnât work, shoot us an email and weâll add you to our list. And be sure to follow us on Twitter: @dailyondefense.
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HAPPENING TODAY: Defense Secretary Esper began his day in Afghanistan where me met last night with Afghan President Ashraf Ghani. âWe discussed the US commitment to the @ResoluteSupport mission & the strength of our partnership,â he tweeted. âWe are agreed that Afghanistan must never again become a safe haven for terrorists to attack the US.â
It is Esperâs first visit to Afghanistan as defense secretary and was not announced ahead of time for security reasons. Esper told reporters that he wanted to get a firsthand assessment from U.S. Afghanistan commander Gen. Scott Miller and Afghan leaders before heading to NATO.
He expressed the hope that the peace talks with the Taliban â declared by President Trump after a U.S. soldier was killed in Kabul â could be revived. âI think the aim is to still get a peace agreement at some point, a political agreement. Thatâs the best way forward,â he told reporters before landing in Kabul Saturday.
READY TO PULL 5,000 TROOPS OUT: Esper revealed why the U.S. was ready to begin gradually withdrawing more than 5,000 of the 14,000 U.S. troops currently in Afghanistan, while waiting to see if the Taliban held up their end of the peace deal.
The U.S. has done an assessment of how many troops it needs to continue its counter-terrorist Al Qaeda, ISIS, and other groups who could threaten the U.S. from Afghanistan. âWeâve always said that itâll be conditions based, but weâre confident that we can go down to 8,600 without affecting our C.T. operations,â Esper said.
PELOSI ALSO IN KABUL: House Speaker Nancy Pelosi was also visiting Afghanistan, leading a barely bi-partisan congressional delegation, which also made a stop in Jordan, where the House members met with King Abdullah II.
âWe were pleased that our delegation was able to briefly compare notes with Defense Secretary Esper,â Pelosi said in a press release. âOur delegation emphasized the central importance of combating the corruption which endangers security and undermines the Afghan peopleâs ability to achieve a stable and prosperous future. We underscored that the women of Afghanistan must be at the table for reconciliation talks.â
Of the nine member delegation, Texas Rep. Mac Thornberry, who has announced that heâs retiring after this session of Congress, was the lone Republican.
You may recall that trip to Afghanistan that Pelosi had planned in January was abruptly cancelled when President Trump grounded the delegationâs military plane in a dispute over a shutdown of the federal government and Pelosiâs delay of Trumpâs State of the Union address.
THE SUNDAY SHOWS: On CBS and CNN two former top commanders were critical of President Trumpâs abrupt decision to pull U.S. troops out of northern Syria, clearing the way for Turkeyâs assault on Americaâs Kurdish allies.
On CNNâs State of the Union, retired Gen. David Petraeus called Trumpâs decision a betrayal. âThis is not a phased, deliberate, planned withdrawal. This is a very sudden exit. And this does not end an endless war. It probably prolongs it, because this gives ISIS an opportunity for a resurgence,â Petraeus said.
âKeep in mind, thereâs still 20,000 to 30,000 ISIS fighters in the Iraq and Syria area. We havenât got Baghdadi yet. Now thereâs a chaotic situation in Northeastern Syria. As Turkey is entering, Iran, Russia and Bashar al-Assadâs forces are coming in. We give them a victory.â
âThis is hundreds of thousands of families of our partners who are now being displaced. This agreement perhaps gives them time without being shot at directly to move, but, I mean, theyâre being forced out into the desert,â Petraeus said.
Asked by host Jake Tapper if the U.S. is sanctioning ethnic cleansing, Petraeus replied. âWell, it certainly is ethnic displacement. And, arguably, it may turn out to be ethnic cleansing.â
Over on CBSâs Face the Nation, retired Gen. Raymond Thomas, the former U.S. Special Operations Commander, was more restrained telling host host Maraget Brennan, the Kurds âhave been our great partner up till now,â but added âWe knew that this would come to some eventual conclusion, but I think they and we were surprised by how abruptly it came to a halt.â
Asked if the Kurds were essentially being asked to surrender, Thomas replied, âI think they are being asked to survive.â
NATO ENLARGEMENT: The Senate is scheduled to resume consideration of ratifying the NATO treaty to make North Macedonia the 30th member of the alliance. A cloture vote is set for 5:30 p.m. North Macedonia, which changed it name as a condition of joining NATO, is expected to become a member later this year or next, once its accession has been ratified by all member nations.
TWITTER SHUTS DOWN FAKE âMARK ESPERANTOâ ACCOUNTS: After President Trump accidentally referred to Defense Secretary Mark Esper as âMark Esperanto,â in a tweet yesterday, a number of parody Mark Esperanto twitter accounts popped up.
Most only lasted a few hours as Twitter shut them down for violating its rules. Trump deleted the tweet and replaced it with one without the reference to his defense secretary as Mark Esperanato, a mistake presumably created by the autocorrect predictive text function.
The Rundown
Washington Examiner: âI havenât been able to sleep at nightâ: Captain who served in Syria calls Trump withdrawal âimmoralâ and âun-Americanâ
New York Times: Trump Is Said to Favor Plan to Keep Some U.S. Troops in Eastern Syria
Washington Examiner: âNo Safe Harborsâ: China Plots To Block U.S. Military From Key Ports, Pentagon Warns
Wall Street Journal: U.S. Government Still Uses Suspect Chinese Cameras
Washington Examiner: After Washington Examiner story on California VA hospital banning WWII glamour girls from visiting patients, hospital relents and allows them in
Reuters: Chinaâs defence minister says resolving âTaiwan questionâ is national priority
New York Times: Erdoganâs Ambitions Go Beyond Syria. He Says He Wants Nuclear Weapons.
USNI News: North Korea Sees Little Reason To Rein In Missile Program
Washington Post: Mitch McConnell: Withdrawing from Syria is a grave mistake
Washington Post: Does Trump understand how grossly he just insulted the president of Turkey?
The Diplomat: Russian Subs Live-Fire Ballistic Missiles in Nuclear Combat Drill
Reuters: Hacking The Hackers: Russian Group Hijacked Iranian Spying Operation, Officials Say
AP: Researchers find second warship from WWII Battle of Midway
Calendar
MONDAY | OCTOBER 21
10 a.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. N.W. â The Brookings Institution discussion âWhat is the Impact of Persistent Military Spouse Unemployment?â with Holly Petraeus, former assistant director for servicemember affairs at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau; Marcus Beauregard, director of the Defense Departmentâs State Liaison Office; Jen Davis, government relations deputy director at the National Military Family Association; Mike Haynie, executive director of Syracuse Universityâs Institute for Veterans and Military Families; Elizabeth OâBrien, senior director of the U.S. Chamber of Commerceâs Hiring Our Heroes Military Spouse Program; and Michael OâHanlon, senior fellow at Brookings. http://www.brookings.edu
11:30 a.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. N.W. â Hudson Institute discussion âDialogues on American Foreign Policy and World Affairs,â with Sen. Chris Murphy, D-Conn., ranking member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committeeâs Near East, South Asia, Central Asia and Counterterrorism Subcommittee; and Walter Russell Mead, fellow at the Hudson Institute. https://www.hudson.org/events
11:45 a.m. 1800 M Street N.W. â Foundation for Defense of Democracies discussion with former Special Envoy to Defeat ISIS Brett McGurk on âHow President Trumpâs decision to withdraw U.S. troops from Syria will impact the region and national security.â Live broadcast at https://www.c-span.org/video
3 p.m. 1763 N St. N.W. â Middle East Institute discussion on âU.S. Policy Priorities for Afghanistan,â with Rep. Michael Waltz, R-Fla.; and Marvin Weinbaum, director for Afghanistan and Pakistan studies at MEI. https://www.mei.edu/events
5:30 p.m. 2045 Rayburn. â New York University, Washington, D.C. discussion on âFrom the Executive Branch to Congress: National Security Leaders who Crossed the Divide,â with Rep. Will Hurd, R-Texas; Rep. Andy Kim, D-N.J.; Rep. Elissa Slotkin, D-Mich.; and Lisa Monaco, senior fellow at the Reiss Center for Law and Security http://www.nyu.edu/washington-dc.html
7 p.m. 5015 Connecticut Ave. N.W. â Politics and Prose book discussion on âSailing True North: Ten Admirals and the Voyage of Character,â with author retired Navy Adm. James Stavridis. http://www.politics-prose.com
TUESDAY | OCTOBER 22
7:45 a.m. 11100 Johns Hopkins Rd. â Day one of the Precision Strike Associationâs symposium âFlipping the Game: Imposing Cost Through Multi-Domain Precision Strike,â with Rep. Vicky Hartzler, R-Mo., delivers remarks on âCongressional Perspective: Meeting the Threatâ https://www.precisionstrike.org/events
8 a.m. 100 Westgate Circle, Annapolis â National Defense Industrial Association Expeditionary Warfare Conference, with Deputy Chief of Naval Operations for Warfighting Requirements and Capabilities Vice Adm. James Kilby; Deputy Marine Corps Commandant for Combat Development and Integration Lt. Gen. Eric Smith; Rep. Jack Bergman, R-Mich.; Eric Labs, senior analyst for naval weapons and forces at the Congressional Budget Office; and Ron OâRourke, naval analyst at the Congressional Research Service. https://www.ndia.org/events
8 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. N.W. â Center for Strategic and International Studies discussion on âForeign Aid and International Affairs Spending,â with House Appropriations Chairwoman Nita Lowey, D-N.Y.; and House Appropriations ranking member Kay Granger, R-Texas. http://www.csis.org
9 a.m. 901 Massachusetts Ave. N.W. â Secretary of State Mike Pompeo addresses Heritage Foundation Presidentâs Club meeting on the Trump administrationâs approach to the foreign policy challenges currently facing the U.S. https://www.heritage.org/events
3 p.m. 1030 15th St.N.W. â The Atlantic Council discussion âMore in the Med: Revitalizing NATOâs Southern Strategy for an Era of Great Power Competition,â with retired Marine Corps Gen. James Jones., former supreme NATO commander; Italian Ambassador to the U.S. Armando Varicchio; Alexander Vershbow, fellow in the Atlantic Councilâs Transatlantic Security Initiative; and Lauren Speranza, deputy director of the Atlantic Councilâs Transatlantic Security Initiative https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/event
6 p.m. 1717 Massachusetts Ave. N.W. â The Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies book discussion on âGuest House for Young Widows: Among the Women of ISIS,â focusing on women who âjoined, endured, and, in some cases, escaped life in the Islamic State,â with author Azadeh Moaveni, senior gender analyst at the International Crisis Group. http://www.sais-jhu.edu
WEDNESDAY | OCTOBER 23
6 a.m. edt/11 a.m. cet NATO Headquarters, Brussels. â Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg press conference in advance of two-day meeting of NATO defense ministers. Streamed live at https://www.nato.int
8 a.m. 11100 Johns Hopkins Rd. â Day two of the Precision Strike Associationâs symposium, âFlipping the Game: Imposing Cost Through Multi-Domain Precision Strike,â with Air Force Lt. Gen. Richard Clark, deputy chief of staff for strategic deterrence and nuclear integration, delivering keynote address on âThe Emerging Threat and a Modernized Nuclear Triadâ https://www.precisionstrike.org/events
8 a.m. 100 Westgate Circle, Annapolis â Day two of the National Defense Industrial Association Expeditionary Warfare Conference, with Deputy Marine Corps Commandant for Installations and Logistics Lt. Gen. Charles Chiarotti. https://www.ndia.org/events
9:30 a.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. N.W. â Brookings Institution discussion on âThe Navy in an Era of Great Power Competition,â with Navy Secretary Richard Spencer; and Michael OâHanlon, senior fellow at Brookings. http://www.brookings.edu
10 a.m. 2172 Rayburn. â House Foreign Affairs Committee hearing âThe Betrayal of our Syrian Kurdish Partners: How Will American Foreign Policy and Leadership Recover?â with testimony from James Jeffrey, State Department special representative for Syria engagement and special envoy to the Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS; and Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs Joey Hood. https://foreignaffairs.house.gov/hearings
11 a.m. 300 Pennsylvania Ave. N.W. â U.S. Central Commander Marine Gen. Frank McKenzie and UAE Ambassador to the U.S. Yousef Al Otaiba deliver keynote remarks to the National Council on U.S.-Arab Relations Arab-U.S. Policymakers Conference. https://ncusar.org/auspc
11:15 a.m. 1700 Army Navy Dr., Arl. â National Defense Industrial Association Defense Leaders Forum, with Air Force Vice Chief of Staff Gen. Stephen Wilson. https://www.ndia.org/events
2 p.m. 2154 Rayburn. â House Oversight and Reform National Security Subcommittee hearing on âThe Trump Administrationâs Syria Policy: Perspectives from the Field.â http://oversight.house.gov
2:30 p.m. Dirksen. â Senate Appropriations State, Foreign Operations and Related Programs Subcommittee hearing on United States policy and assistance in Syria. http://appropriations.senate.gov
THURSDAY | OCTOBER 24
All day. NATO Headquarters, Brussels â Meeting of NATOâs North Atlantic Council at the level of Defense Ministers. Possible Mark Esper news conference https://www.nato.int
8 a.m. 11100 Johns Hopkins Rd. â Day three of the Precision Strike Associationâs symposium âFlipping the Game: Imposing Cost Through Multi-Domain Precision Strike,â with Air Force Maj. Gen. David Krumm, director of global power programs in the Office of the Assistant Secretary of the Air Force for Acquisition, Technology and Logistics. https://www.precisionstrike.org/events
8 a.m. 100 Westgate Circle, Annapolis â Day three of the National Defense Industrial Association Expeditionary Warfare Conference with Rear Adm. Steve Parode, director of the Navyâs Warfare Integration Directorate. https://www.ndia.org/events/2019/10/22/24th-ewc
8:30 a.m. 529 14th Street, N.W. â House Armed Services Committee Chairman Rep. Adam Smith delivers remarks on the future of U.S. nuclear policy, at a briefing sponsored by the Ploughshares Fund. Also taking part: Kelly Magsamen, vice president for national security and international policy at the Center for American Progress; Mieke Eoyang, vice president of Third Wayâs National Security Program; and Kennette Benedict, board member at the Ploughshares Fund. https://www.ploughshares.org/issues
9:30 a.m. G-50 Dirksen. â Senate Armed Services Committee committee hearing on the nomination of Navy Vice Adm. Charles Richard to be commander of the U.S. Strategic Command. https://www.armed-services.senate.gov
10 a.m. 214 Massachusetts Ave. N.E. â Heritage Foundation discussion on âRecent Business Reform and Opportunities for Trade and Investment in Afghanistan,â with Acting Afghanistan Minister of Industry and Commerce Ajmal Ahmady; and Terry Miller, director of the Heritage Center for International Trade and Economics http://www.heritage.org
FRIDAY I OCTOBER 25
8:30 a.m. 2300 Wilson Blvd., Arl. â Military Reporters & Editors association annual conference, with Army Secretary Ryan McCarthy; Undersecretary of the Navy Thomas Modly; Vice Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Robert Burke; Virginia Rep. Rob Wittman; and others Full agenda at https://militaryreporters.org/2019
9:30 a.m. 214 Massachusetts Ave. N.E Heritage Foundation discussion âTreating the Pathologies of Victory: Hardening the Nation for Strategic Competition,â with retired Air Force Col. Tom Ehrhard; and Dakota Wood, senior research fellow for defense programs at the Heritage Foundation. http://www.heritage.org
12:30 p.m. 1777 F St. N.W. â Council on Foreign Relations discussion on âU.S.-Turkey Relations: The Shifting Nature of Two NATO Allies,â with Henri Barkey, chair in international relations at Lehigh University; Naz Durakoglu, senior policy adviser in the Office of Senator Jeanne Shaheen, D-N.H.; and Gonul Tol, founding director of the Middle East Instituteâs Center for Turkish Studies. http://www.cfr.org
2 p.m. 214 Massachusetts Ave. N.E. â Heritage Foundation lecture on âHonoring Americaâs Veterans Through Improved Care and Services,â with Veterans Affairs Secretary Robert Wilkie; and Kim Holmes, executive vice president of Heritage nhttp://www.heritage.org
TUESDAY I OCTOBER 29
9:30 a.m. G-50 Dirksen â Senate Armed Services Committee hearing on the nominations of Dana S. Deasy to be CIO of the Defense Department; and Robert John Sander to be general counsel of the Department of the Navy. https://www.armed-services.senate.gov/hearings
QUOTE OF THE DAY
âThere does not seem to have been the kind of deliberative process that generally is associated with national security policy-making.â
Retired Gen. David Petraeus on CNN Sunday, describing President Trumpâs self-described unconventional strategy in Syria.