This Reid Wilson post at Real Clear Politics is worth reading. Wilson argues that there are parallels between Mitt Romney and Howard Dean, and that either John McCain or Rudy Giuliani will become the 2008 version of Dick Gephardt who takes Dean/Romney down with him in a flurry of negative campaigning, while the other may become the 2008 version of John Kerry and win his party’s nomination. It may sound like a tortured historical analogy to you – and maybe it is! Regardless, here’s Wilson:
It is worth thinking about the possibilities. What is clear, though, is that probably we will have a much more definite sense of the field after New Hampshire, should New Hampshire take place after Iowa. The early states matter more, not less, than the others.
