Joe Biden has a stable, single-digit lead on President Trump in the pivotal battleground state of Wisconsin.
Biden was an average of 8 percentage points ahead of Trump on Sunday in Wisconsin, a state the president clinched from 2016 Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by almost 23,000 votes, according to Morning Consult tracking polling. Biden, the 2020 Democratic presidential nominee and two-term vice president, was in front on Sept. 6, 51% to 43%, in the 10-day moving average.
Morning Consult released its daily Wisconsin presidential head-to-head numbers following civil unrest in the state after Jacob Blake, a black man, was shot seven times in the back by a white police officer in Kenosha during an arrest on Aug. 23.
Morning Consult’s data, collected since April 26, showed Biden was ahead by an average of low single-digits until late June when he widened that margin to double-digits. The race tightened in July before Biden extended his lead again toward the end of the month. He’s been in front by a high single-digit berth since then, though he reached double-digits in late August.
Wisconsin’s importance to the 2020 election was highlighted this past week when both Biden and California Sen. Kamala Harris, his running mate, visited the state as part of their first major campaign events after travel was curbed by the coronavirus pandemic. Harris also met with Blake’s family on Labor Day.
“They’re an incredible family, and what they’ve endured, and they do it with such dignity and grace. And you know, they’re carrying the weight of a lot of voices on their shoulders,” Harris said of their discussion.
She added that she visited “to express concern for their well-being and, of course, for their brother and their son’s well-being and to let them know that they have support.”
Morning Consult’s figures mirror Biden’s average 7.5 point lead in FiveThirtyEight’s Wisconsin polling data and 7.1 point lead from RealClearPolitics’s data. Morning Consult’s Sept. 6 finding was based on responses collected from an average of 797 likely Wisconsin voters between Aug. 28 and Sept. 6. The firm’s results have a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.
