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Two New Polls Show Hillary Leading Trump

By Jim Swift
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Two new polls released Sunday morning show Hillary Clinton leading over Donald Trump.

In the Wall Street Journal/NBC poll, Trump fell 2 points to 41 percent to Clinton’s 46. The margin of error is 3.1 percent and the poll sample size was 1,000 voters.

Republican Donald Trump emerged relatively unscathed from one of the rockiest phases of his campaign, lagging rival Hillary Clinton by 5 percentage points but essentially tied when third-party candidates are included, according to a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll.

The third parties, when included, make a considerable difference:

Mrs. Clinton’s lead fell to one point, at 39% to Mr. Trump’s 38%, when Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein are part of the mix.

Meanwhile, the Washington Post-ABC News poll tells a different story:

Support for Donald Trump has plunged as he has alienated fellow Republicans and large majorities of voters overall in the course of a month of self-inflicted controversies, propelling Democrat Hillary Clinton to a double-digit lead nationally in a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.

There, in a Trump-Clinton matchup, Clinton leads 51 to 39. Oddly, the numbers are very different than they were just a month ago:

This is Clinton’s largest lead in Post-ABC polling since last fall and a dramatic reversal from last month’s survey, which found the race nearly even, with Trump at 46 percent and Clinton at 44 percent.

Including the third party candidates, the Post-ABC poll puts Clinton up 47 to 37. The margin of error here is 3.5 percent, and the poll sample size was 1,001 voters.

NBC’s Mark Murray observes that the two polls also differ somewhat significantly in party identification of respondents:

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