The final polls in Britain

Published



The polls in Britain will be open for five more hours. The final nine poll results are here and here. The results are quite similar: The Consevratives average 35.56%, Labour 27.56% and Liberal Democrats 27.44%. If you plug those into a uniform-swing model, that would give the Conservatives 287 seats, Labour 244 and Lib Dems 87. However, the local experts don’t expect a uniform swing and believe that there will be a bigger swing to Conservatives (and Lib Dems) in their Labour target seats, with Conservatives probably netting more than 300 seats—probably enough to govern. So far as I have been able to discover, the results of the exit poll commissioned by the three TV networks (described here) are kept secret, as they are here; they will be announced promptly at 10pm (5pm Eastern Time), when the polls close.