MLB outlook, week of 8/22/10

Published August 22, 2010 4:00am ET



PLAYER TO WATCH

Carlos Gonzalez, OF, Colorado Rockies
His team is just about out of the playoff race in the National League. But the Colorado Rockies have set themselves up for 2011 with the emergence of outfielder Carlos Gonzalez. The 24-year-old is batting .318 with 25 homers and 79 RBI. He’s already out-producing Matt Holliday — the man Colorado traded to Oakland after the 2008 season to get Gonzalez. Has started 54 games in center field, but seems better suited defensively in left.

STORYLINES

 1. A Bronx pitching tale » It’s not a problem the Yankees want to think about. But as they hold off the Tampa Bay Rays in the American League East, New York must deal with the fact that left-handed starter Andy Pettitte may not pitch again until mid-September thanks to a serious groin injury. A setback this week has pushed Pettitte’s absence dangerously close to October. No one on the New York staff has been better in 2010, not even CC Sabathia (3.12 ERA). Pettitte has a 2.88 ERA. No one on staff has more postseason experience — a 3.90 ERA in 40 career starts. If he has another setback or if the groin doesn’t heal in time, New York turns to Javier Vasquez (4.89 ERA) in the playoffs. That shudder you heard was Yankees fans everywhere.

2 Lone Ranger » Remember that slow start Texas outfielder Josh Hamilton endured at the beginning of the season? Yeah, he’s good now. At the end of May, Hamilton had nine homers and 13 doubles with an .835 OPS. Not awful, but not the stuff of MVP’s, either. By the end of June, Hamilton had doubled his home run total and brought his OPS to an even 1.000. And he hasn’t stopped. Hamilton entered the weekend — and in Baltimore to face the Orioles — leading Major League Baseball in batting average (.353) and was second only to Detroit’s Miguel Cabrera in slugging (.618) and OPS (1.023). He also had 37 doubles and three triples and made everyone forget about last year when an abdominal injury and subsequent surgery limited him to 89 games.

3. Injuries and the National League East race » After losing Chipper Jones to an ACL tear, Atlanta moved Martin Prado, one of the league’s top hitters, to third base and inserted Omar Infante into the lineup full time at second. So Jones’ loss hurt their depth, but at least the Braves had enough talent to compensate. But just as the injury cloud hovered over Atlanta it has lifted in Philadelphia. Star second baseman Chase Utley returned last week after missing almost seven weeks with a thumb injury. Meanwhile, slugger Ryan Howard has been out since Aug. 2 with an ankle injury, but should be back early next week. That’s 23 homers back in the heart of a lineup that entered the weekend averaging 5.2 runs-per-game in Howard’s absence. For the year, the Phillies’ offense is at 4.8.

SERIES TO WATCH
Reds at Giants, Monday-Wednesday
Both teams are in the middle of the playoff chase with just over five weeks left in the regular season. San Francisco slipped further away from first place in the NL West last week as the Padres caught fire. Meanwhile, the Reds have traded first place in the NL Central back-and-forth with St. Louis almost all summer. Neither team has much margin for error. Edinson Volquez (4.98 ERA), Travis Wood (2.51 ERA) and Homer Bailey (4.92 ERA) pitch for Cincinnati. The Giants counter with Matt Cain (3.11 ERA), Jonathan Sanchez (3.47 ERA) and Madison Bumgarner (3.27 ERA).

The Examiner’s weekly power rankings
1. Yankees » LHP AJ Burnett better lately with six quality starts in last eight
2. Rays » Swept first-place Texas to keep pace with N.Y. in AL East
3. Padres » 10 of 11 wins let San Diego open up lead in NL West
4. Braves » Martin Prado came off DL, played 3B and had six hits vs. Nats
5. Reds » Recovered from St. Louis series by not losing for a week
6. Red Sox » Like a staggered boxer that the Yanks, Rays just can’t knock out
7. Twins » With AL Central lead, Twins can wait on Justin Morneau
8. Rangers » Recent slide no big deal, Rangers had room to work with
9. Cardinals » Better take advantage of series vs. Pirates, Nats, Astros
10. Phillies » RHP Roy Oswalt has five ER in last three starts for Phillies
11. Giants » Better gain on Padres soon or turn focus to NL wild card
12. White Sox » 1B Paul Konerko leads team in nine major offensive stats
13. Blue Jays » Jose Bautista has hit 47 homers since Sept 5, 2009
14. Rockies » Tulowitzki power down: eight extra-base hits since July 27
15. Dodgers » LHP Ted Lilly has allowed four ER in 28 IP with L.A.
16. Angels » Rangers faltered and L.A. failed to take advantage. Done.
17. Marlins » Have lost C Ronny Paulino to 50-game drug suspension
18. A’s » Tim Cahill (2.57 ERA) leads a talented young rotation
19. Mets » Emergence of CF Angel Pagan a bright spot in poor 2010
20. Tigers » Team’s fade no fault of 1B Miguel Cabrera, who leads MLB in OPS
21. Brewers » Third-place finish in NL Central won’t count for much
22. Nationals » Signed 25 of top 26 draft picks, including Bryce Harper
23. Astros » Little change in Houston even without Oswalt, Berkman
24. Royals » 1B Billy Butler leads KC in hits (139) and doubles (35)
25. Indians » Carmona leads staff with 4.14 ERA, that’s about right
26. Cubs » Have passed the Nats as MLB’s worst defensive team
27. Mariners » Not good when top home-run hitter is at 10 in August
28. D’backs » 3B Mark Reynolds with 99 homers in less than 3 seasons
29. Orioles » Offensive struggles of young C Matt Wieters is a concern
30. Pirates » At least Pittsburgh’s 2010 draft garnered rave reviews